Marquense vs Malacateco Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marquense v Malacateco — Team-Based Signals
Marquense vs Malacateco Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Marquense nicked a narrow win over Malacateco 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Marquense as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malacateco led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Marquense and 1.67 for Malacateco.
What was the final score of Marquense vs Malacateco?
Marquense 1-0 Malacateco in the Guatemala - National League on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marquense vs Malacateco?
Before kick-off our model rated a Marquense win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Marquense 47%, draw 28%, Malacateco 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marquense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.