Malacateco 2-1 Marquense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-3.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.0pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malacateco EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Marquense EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.51/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.20/1.62
-11% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -78% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malacateco
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Marquense
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2025 Marquense Marquense 4-1 HT 2-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
28.04.2025 Marquense Marquense 2-0 HT 1-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
03.03.2025 Malacateco Malacateco 1-0 HT 0-0 Marquense Marquense GUAT
25.11.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 4-0 HT 3-0 Marquense Marquense GUAT
01.09.2024 Marquense Marquense 2-2 HT 1-1 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
POST-MATCH Malacateco vs Marquense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malacateco nicked a narrow win over Marquense 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Malacateco as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Malacateco and 1.60 for Marquense.

What was the final score of Malacateco vs Marquense?

Malacateco 2-1 Marquense in the Guatemala - National League on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malacateco vs Marquense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malacateco win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Malacateco 53%, draw 24%, Marquense 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malacateco), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Malacateco) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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