Marquense 4-1 Malacateco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 25 Aug 2025

📅25/08/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
34%
3.28
Away
14%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.06
No
46%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
52%
+0.7pp
34%
Draw
27%
+6.6pp
14%
Away Win
21%
-7.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
44%
+9.4pp
46%
BTTS No
56%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marquense EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Malacateco EU Bookmakers 24%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.28/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.51
-4% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marquense
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Malacateco
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2025 Marquense Marquense 2-0 HT 1-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
03.03.2025 Malacateco Malacateco 1-0 HT 0-0 Marquense Marquense GUAT
25.11.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 4-0 HT 3-0 Marquense Marquense GUAT
01.09.2024 Marquense Marquense 2-2 HT 1-1 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
POST-MATCH Marquense vs Malacateco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marquense swept aside Malacateco 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Marquense as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Malacateco led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Marquense and 1.75 for Malacateco.

What was the final score of Marquense vs Malacateco?

Marquense 4-1 Malacateco in the Guatemala - National League on 25/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marquense vs Malacateco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marquense win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Marquense 52%, draw 34%, Malacateco 14%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marquense), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marquense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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