Malacateco 2-1 Marquense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 22 Jan 2026

📅22/01/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
15%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
59%
+3.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
15%
Away Win
16%
-1.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.0pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malacateco EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Marquense EU Bookmakers 20%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -14%
1.69/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/2.00
-7% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / -21%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malacateco
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Marquense
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2025 Malacateco Malacateco 2-1 HT 0-1 Marquense Marquense GUAT
25.08.2025 Marquense Marquense 4-1 HT 2-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
28.04.2025 Marquense Marquense 2-0 HT 1-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
03.03.2025 Malacateco Malacateco 1-0 HT 0-0 Marquense Marquense GUAT
25.11.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 4-0 HT 3-0 Marquense Marquense GUAT
01.09.2024 Marquense Marquense 2-2 HT 1-1 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
POST-MATCH Malacateco vs Marquense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malacateco nicked a narrow win over Marquense 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Malacateco as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malacateco had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Malacateco and 1.50 for Marquense.

What was the final score of Malacateco vs Marquense?

Malacateco 2-1 Marquense in the Guatemala - National League on 22/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malacateco vs Marquense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malacateco win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Malacateco 63%, draw 22%, Marquense 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malacateco) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Malacateco) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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