Aluminij 2-4 Koper — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
49%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.45
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
2.68
6+ Goals
9%
7.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+1.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
49%
Away Win
51%
-1.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.9pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aluminij EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Koper EU Bookmakers 56%
-4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
0.85/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.26
-26% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -21%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aluminij
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Koper
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2025 Koper Koper 4-1 HT 2-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
29.08.2025 Aluminij Aluminij 1-0 HT 1-0 Koper Koper SLVN
11.04.2024 Koper Koper 2-1 HT 0-1 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
16.02.2024 Aluminij Aluminij 1-2 HT 1-1 Koper Koper SLVN
26.11.2023 Aluminij Aluminij 3-2 HT 2-1 Koper Koper SLVN
08.10.2023 Koper Koper 4-1 HT 3-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aluminij
2-4
AWAY Koper
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aluminij vs Koper
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Koper beat Aluminij 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Koper as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Aluminij had 40% of the ball to Koper's 60%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Koper led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Aluminij and 2.33 for Koper.

What was the final score of Aluminij vs Koper?

Aluminij 2-4 Koper in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aluminij vs Koper?

Before kick-off our model rated an Koper win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Aluminij 26%, draw 24%, Koper 49%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Koper), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Koper) ✓ BTTS Yes
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