Oldham Athletic 1-2 Woking — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 8 Apr 2025

📅08/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.33
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
4.73
6+ Goals
7%
27.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.33 — our 37% vs market 35.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.58
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
15.05
X/1
16%
4.19
X/2
13%
8.41
X/X
12%
4.04
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
8%
7.44
2/X
9%
16.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-6.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.9pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.9pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Woking EU Bookmakers 25%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.49/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.42
-9% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
165 · 90% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 161 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oldham Athletic
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Woking
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Woking Woking 1-3 HT 0-1 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
27.01.2024 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Woking Woking İBSL
18.11.2023 Woking Woking 0-1 HT 0-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
07.03.2023 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Woking Woking İBSL
13.09.2022 Woking Woking 3-0 HT 2-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oldham Athletic
1-2
AWAY Woking
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
0 Passes 2
POST-MATCH Oldham Athletic vs Woking
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Woking edged past Oldham Athletic 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Oldham Athletic at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Oldham Athletic had 53% of the ball to Woking's 47%, shots finished 10-7.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Oldham Athletic had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Oldham Athletic and 1.00 for Woking.

What was the final score of Oldham Athletic vs Woking?

Oldham Athletic 1-2 Woking in the England - National League on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oldham Athletic vs Woking?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oldham Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Oldham Athletic 44%, draw 29%, Woking 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Oldham Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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