FC Levadia 2-1 FC Kuressaare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 8 Apr 2025

📅08/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.16
Draw
19%
7.78
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.6
No
52%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
82%
-16.7pp
19%
Draw
10%
+8.4pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+8.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
34%
+14.0pp
52%
BTTS No
66%
-14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 9%
-7% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
2.47/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/2.51
-2% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -5%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
421 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 201 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Levadia
4W-1D-1L
AWAY FC Kuressaare
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
70% Ball Possession 30%
24 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
21.07.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
01.06.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
09.03.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-6 HT 0-2 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
23.09.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 4-0 HT 2-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
20.08.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 2-1 HT 2-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Levadia
2-1
AWAY FC Kuressaare
74% Ball Possession 26%
30 Total Shots 2
16 Shots on Target 1
15 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Levadia vs FC Kuressaare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia edged past FC Kuressaare 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Levadia as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, FC Levadia had 74% of the ball to FC Kuressaare's 26%, shots finished 30-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for FC Levadia and 0.33 for FC Kuressaare.

What was the final score of FC Levadia vs FC Kuressaare?

FC Levadia 2-1 FC Kuressaare in the Estonia - Premium League on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Levadia vs FC Kuressaare?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split FC Levadia 66%, draw 19%, FC Kuressaare 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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