Riga FC 1-1 Metta / LU Riga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 8 Apr 2025

📅08/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.11
Draw
19%
8.11
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
85%
-18.8pp
19%
Draw
9%
+10.0pp
15%
Away Win
6%
+8.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.0pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Metta / LU Riga EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
2.83/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/2.36
+15% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -23%
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
406 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 74%
46.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.4
30.8 Crosses 13.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga FC
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Metta / LU Riga
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
3.09 xG 0.71
66% Ball Possession 34%
23 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
515 Passes 231
88% Pass Accuracy 75%
60 Box Touches 8
32 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
10.08.2024 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 2-4 HT 1-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
02.06.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 5-0 HT 0-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
21.04.2024 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 1-2 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
03.03.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 1-1 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga HAZ
05.11.2023 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 1-3 HT 0-2 Riga FC Riga FC LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Riga FC
1-1
AWAY Metta / LU Riga
2.98 xG 0.33
73% Ball Possession 27%
31 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
595 Passes 174
88% Pass Accuracy 69%
49 Box Touches 7
43 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Riga FC vs Metta / LU Riga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC and Metta / LU Riga shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Riga FC at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Riga FC had 73% of the ball to Metta / LU Riga's 27%, shots finished 31-8, expected goals 2.98 to 0.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Riga FC and 0.83 for Metta / LU Riga.

What was the final score of Riga FC vs Metta / LU Riga?

Riga FC 1-1 Metta / LU Riga in the Latvia - Virsliga on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC vs Metta / LU Riga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Riga FC 66%, draw 19%, Metta / LU Riga 15%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Riga FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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