Riga FC 4-0 Metta / LU Riga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.16
Draw
20%
7.78
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
3.17
Over 2.5
57%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
82%
-18.5pp
20%
Draw
10%
+10.2pp
17%
Away Win
8%
+8.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
28%
+14.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
72%
-14.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.9pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Metta / LU Riga EU Bookmakers 11%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +5%
2.72/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/2.06
+18% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -13%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
490 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 74%
44.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
29.7 Crosses 14.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga FC
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Metta / LU Riga
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.67 xG 0.68
63% Ball Possession 37%
22 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
465 Passes 231
85% Pass Accuracy 72%
57 Box Touches 9
31 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.08.2024 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 2-4 HT 1-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
02.06.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 5-0 HT 0-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
21.04.2024 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 1-2 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
03.03.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 1-1 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga HAZ
05.11.2023 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 1-3 HT 0-2 Riga FC Riga FC LET
13.08.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Riga FC
4-0
AWAY Metta / LU Riga
4.39 xG 0.63
64% Ball Possession 36%
24 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
490 Passes 262
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
53 Box Touches 8
35 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Riga FC vs Metta / LU Riga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC ran out comfortable winners over Metta / LU Riga 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Riga FC had 64% of the ball to Metta / LU Riga's 36%, shots finished 24-10, expected goals 4.39 to 0.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Riga FC and 0.83 for Metta / LU Riga.

What was the final score of Riga FC vs Metta / LU Riga?

Riga FC 4-0 Metta / LU Riga in the Latvia - Virsliga on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC vs Metta / LU Riga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Riga FC 63%, draw 20%, Metta / LU Riga 17%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LET More Latvia - Virsliga
3 Nov 2024
14:00 BFC Daugavpils vs Valmiera / BSS Analysis →
14:00 FS Jelgava vs Liepaja Analysis →
14:00 FK Tukums 2000 vs Auda Analysis →
14:00 Grobina vs Rigas Skola Analysis →