FS Jelgava 2-2 Liepaja — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.34
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
49%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
16%
+8.0pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.2pp
49%
Away Win
62%
-13.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Liepaja EU Bookmakers 66%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.40/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.78
-8% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -28%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
268 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 77%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
15.2 Crosses 20.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FS Jelgava
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Liepaja
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.01 xG 1.35
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
224 Passes 366
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 3-0 HT 1-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
14.07.2024 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 2-4 HT 0-2 Liepaja Liepaja LETK
02.06.2024 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 1-1 HT 0-1 Liepaja Liepaja LET
23.04.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 0-1 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
07.10.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 1-1 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
21.07.2023 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 3-2 HT 1-1 Liepaja Liepaja LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FS Jelgava
2-2
AWAY Liepaja
0.61 xG 2.81
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
231 Passes 404
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FS Jelgava vs Liepaja
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FS Jelgava and Liepaja couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Liepaja at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, FS Jelgava had 39% of the ball to Liepaja's 61%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.61 to 2.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FS Jelgava and 1.83 for Liepaja.

What was the final score of FS Jelgava vs Liepaja?

FS Jelgava 2-2 Liepaja in the Latvia - Virsliga on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FS Jelgava vs Liepaja?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FS Jelgava 24%, draw 28%, Liepaja 49%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liepaja) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liepaja) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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