BFC Daugavpils vs Valmiera / BSS Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BFC Daugavpils v Valmiera / BSS — Team-Based Signals
BFC Daugavpils vs Valmiera / BSS Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Valmiera / BSS
LET
0-1
HT 0-1
BFC Daugavpils
LET
1-0
HT 1-0
BFC Daugavpils
LET
BFC Daugavpils 3-3 Valmiera / BSS — Actual Match Statistics
BFC Daugavpils and Valmiera / BSS shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
This one beat our numbers. Valmiera / BSS carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, BFC Daugavpils had 29% of the ball to Valmiera / BSS's 71%, shots finished 11-34, expected goals 1.76 to 2.46.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valmiera / BSS led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for BFC Daugavpils and 1.83 for Valmiera / BSS.
What was the final score of BFC Daugavpils vs Valmiera / BSS?
BFC Daugavpils 3-3 Valmiera / BSS in the Latvia - Virsliga on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BFC Daugavpils vs Valmiera / BSS?
Before kick-off our model rated an Valmiera / BSS win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split BFC Daugavpils 22%, draw 21%, Valmiera / BSS 56%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Valmiera / BSS), BTTS No went the other way.