Backa Topola vs IMT Novi Beograd Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Backa Topola v IMT Novi Beograd — Team-Based Signals
Backa Topola vs IMT Novi Beograd Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
IMT Novi Beograd
SIRP
Backa Topola 1-3 IMT Novi Beograd — Actual Match Statistics
IMT Novi Beograd got the better of Backa Topola 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Backa Topola at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Backa Topola had 54% of the ball to IMT Novi Beograd's 46%, shots finished 5-9, expected goals 1.06 to 2.04.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Backa Topola had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Backa Topola and 0.20 for IMT Novi Beograd.
What was the final score of Backa Topola vs IMT Novi Beograd?
Backa Topola 1-3 IMT Novi Beograd in the Serbia - Super League on 08/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Backa Topola vs IMT Novi Beograd?
Before kick-off our model rated a Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Backa Topola 42%, draw 26%, IMT Novi Beograd 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.