Kapfenberger SV 0-3 St. Pölten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 8 May 2026

Kapfenberger SV
0-3 HT 0-3
St. Pölten
📅08/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Kapfenberger SV vs St. Pölten Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.91
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
60%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.59
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.64
6+ Goals
10%
6.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
12.05
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
20.0
1/X
5%
20.8
X/1
9%
14.95
X/2
14%
3.88
X/X
7%
7.45
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
36%
1.61
2/X
6%
18.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.0 — our 10% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
14%
+8.1pp
18%
Draw
18%
-0.1pp
60%
Away Win
68%
-8.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kapfenberger SV v St. Pölten — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kapfenberger SV EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pölten EU Bookmakers 72%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.16/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.45/0.93
+1% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +12%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
218 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
11.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
9.3 Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.6

Kapfenberger SV vs St. Pölten Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kapfenberger SV
2W-0D-4L
AWAY St. Pölten
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
23.11.2025 St. Pölten St. Pölten 2-1 HT 1-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
07.03.2025 St. Pölten St. Pölten 3-1 HT 1-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
23.08.2024 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
08.03.2024 St. Pölten St. Pölten 2-0 HT 0-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
20.08.2023 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 0-3 HT 0-2 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
21.05.2023 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 2-1 HT 1-1 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
POST-MATCH Kapfenberger SV vs St. Pölten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pölten ran out comfortable winners over Kapfenberger SV 3-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had St. Pölten as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Pölten led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kapfenberger SV and 1.83 for St. Pölten.

What was the final score of Kapfenberger SV vs St. Pölten?

Kapfenberger SV 0-3 St. Pölten in the Austria - 1st Division on 08/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kapfenberger SV vs St. Pölten?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Pölten win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Kapfenberger SV 22%, draw 18%, St. Pölten 60%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Pölten), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Pölten) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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