NWS Spirit 1-0 Marconi Stallions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 8 Jun 2024

📅08/06/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
37%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.33
Over
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
37%
4-5
28%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
27%
+8.1pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.5pp
37%
Away Win
50%
-12.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.1pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NWS Spirit EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Marconi Stallions EU Bookmakers 54%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.96/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.22
-40% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.3 Crosses 21.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NWS Spirit
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Marconi Stallions
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.14 xG 1.60
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
385 Passes 262
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2024 Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions 2-1 HT 1-0 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
22.07.2023 Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions 5-1 HT 3-1 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
07.04.2023 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 0-2 HT 0-1 Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions AVNPL
POST-MATCH NWS Spirit vs Marconi Stallions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NWS Spirit squeezed past Marconi Stallions 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day NWS Spirit made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Marconi Stallions led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for NWS Spirit and 3.00 for Marconi Stallions.

What was the final score of NWS Spirit vs Marconi Stallions?

NWS Spirit 1-0 Marconi Stallions in the Australia - National Premier League on 08/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NWS Spirit vs Marconi Stallions?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marconi Stallions win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split NWS Spirit 35%, draw 28%, Marconi Stallions 37%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Marconi Stallions) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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