Deportivo La Guaira 2-0 Monagas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 8 Jul 2025

📅08/07/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.9
Draw
34%
3.35
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.76
No
58%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
23%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.8pp
34%
Draw
26%
+7.4pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-11.2pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Monagas EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +8%
1.42/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.39
-4% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
19.2 Crosses 16.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Monagas
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.25 xG 0.81
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
318 Passes 264
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.01.2025 Monagas Monagas 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
18.11.2024 Monagas Monagas 0-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
25.07.2024 Monagas Monagas 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
11.02.2024 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 HT 1-1 Monagas Monagas VEN
06.10.2023 Monagas Monagas 2-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
05.02.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
2-0
AWAY Monagas
1.94 xG 2.30
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 21
7 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 10
368 Passes 278
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Guaira vs Monagas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira got the better of Monagas 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 34% / 27% — and on the day Deportivo La Guaira made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo La Guaira had 56% of the ball to Monagas's 44%, shots finished 12-21, expected goals 1.94 to 2.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Guaira had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportivo La Guaira and 0.67 for Monagas.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Guaira vs Monagas?

Deportivo La Guaira 2-0 Monagas in the Venezuela - Premier League on 08/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Guaira vs Monagas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Guaira 40%, draw 34%, Monagas 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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