Inter Turku 3-2 Oulu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 8 Aug 2025

📅08/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.33
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
15%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
22%
4.77
2-3 Goals
44%
1.96
4-5 Goals
24%
2.87
6+ Goals
10%
7.91
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.77 — our 22% vs market 16.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.55
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
7%
19.9
X/1
22%
3.81
X/2
6%
17.05
X/X
8%
7.66
2/1
9%
21.05
2/2
6%
14.35
2/X
5%
23.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
71%
-4.8pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.8pp
15%
Away Win
12%
+3.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Oulu EU Bookmakers 15%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -13%
2.47/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/2.00
+3% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
479 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 76%
39.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
22.3 Crosses 14.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Turku
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Oulu
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.47 xG 0.82
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
338 Passes 334
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2025 Oulu Oulu 1-4 HT 1-2 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
24.09.2024 Oulu Oulu 1-0 HT 1-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
10.08.2024 Oulu Oulu 1-0 HT 1-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
12.04.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 3-3 HT 1-1 Oulu Oulu FİN
03.09.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 2-1 HT 1-1 Oulu Oulu FİN
11.06.2023 Oulu Oulu 1-1 HT 0-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Turku
3-2
AWAY Oulu
2.33 xG 1.10
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
442 Passes 306
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
41 Box Touches 8
14 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Inter Turku vs Oulu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Turku squeezed past Oulu 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Inter Turku as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Inter Turku had 58% of the ball to Oulu's 42%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 2.33 to 1.10 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Inter Turku's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Inter Turku and 1.33 for Oulu.

What was the final score of Inter Turku vs Oulu?

Inter Turku 3-2 Oulu in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 08/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Turku vs Oulu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Inter Turku 66%, draw 19%, Oulu 15%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Turku), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter Turku) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →