Oulu 1-4 Inter Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.5
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
41%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.46
2-3 Goals
36%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.59
6+ Goals
9%
13.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 34% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.45
1/2
6%
24.2
1/X
9%
14.7
X/1
12%
8.37
X/2
15%
4.53
X/X
11%
4.91
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
20%
2.5
2/X
8%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+5.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
41%
Away Win
49%
-8.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.0pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oulu EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 54%
-5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -28%
0.87/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/0.99
-21% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -38%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 474 · 84%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.8
10.9 Crosses 22.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oulu
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Inter Turku
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.94 xG 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
337 Passes 355
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2024 Oulu Oulu 1-0 HT 1-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
10.08.2024 Oulu Oulu 1-0 HT 1-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
12.04.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 3-3 HT 1-1 Oulu Oulu FİN
03.09.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 2-1 HT 1-1 Oulu Oulu FİN
11.06.2023 Oulu Oulu 1-1 HT 0-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
18.03.2023 Oulu Oulu 1-1 HT 0-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oulu
1-4
AWAY Inter Turku
0.25 xG 2.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 5
318 Passes 252
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 33
10 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Oulu vs Inter Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Turku ran out comfortable winners over Oulu 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Inter Turku as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Oulu had 54% of the ball to Inter Turku's 46%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.25 to 2.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oulu had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Oulu and 1.17 for Inter Turku.

What was the final score of Oulu vs Inter Turku?

Oulu 1-4 Inter Turku in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oulu vs Inter Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Oulu 31%, draw 28%, Inter Turku 41%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Turku) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter Turku) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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