Jaro vs KTP Kotka Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Jaro v KTP Kotka — Team-Based Signals
Jaro vs KTP Kotka Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-2
HT 2-0
KTP Kotka
FINY
2-1
HT 0-0
Jaro
FİN2
2-2
HT 1-0
KTP Kotka
FİN2
Jaro 2-3 KTP Kotka — Actual Match Statistics
KTP Kotka nicked a narrow win over Jaro 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Jaro at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Jaro had 56% of the ball to KTP Kotka's 44%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.20 to 1.84.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KTP Kotka led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Jaro and 1.83 for KTP Kotka.
What was the final score of Jaro vs KTP Kotka?
Jaro 2-3 KTP Kotka in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Jaro vs KTP Kotka?
Before kick-off our model rated a Jaro win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Jaro 46%, draw 29%, KTP Kotka 25%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.