Nevezis 1-3 Minija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 8 Aug 2025

📅08/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.7pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.2pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.9pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nevezis EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Minija EU Bookmakers 49%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.87/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/2.17
-36% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -48%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
395 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nevezis
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Minija
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.04.2025 Nevezis Nevezis 1-3 HT 0-2 Minija Minija LITK
05.04.2025 Minija Minija 2-1 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
28.09.2024 Minija Minija 0-0 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
11.05.2024 Nevezis Nevezis 1-1 HT 0-0 Minija Minija LIT1
04.08.2023 Nevezis Nevezis 2-1 HT 0-0 Minija Minija LIT1
18.03.2023 Minija Minija 1-2 HT 0-0 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
POST-MATCH Nevezis vs Minija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minija saw off Nevezis 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Minija as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nevezis and 1.33 for Minija.

What was the final score of Nevezis vs Minija?

Nevezis 1-3 Minija in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 08/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nevezis vs Minija?

Before kick-off our model rated an Minija win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Nevezis 34%, draw 23%, Minija 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Minija), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Minija) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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