Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 Chelmsford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
30%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.03
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.53
6+ Goals
12%
14.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 27% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-5.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 39%
+3% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +32%
1.35/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.18
-1% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Chelmsford City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2026 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-0 HT 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
25.11.2025 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 2-1 HT 0-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
15.11.2025 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İNFAT
10.02.2025 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 0-0 HT 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
21.10.2024 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
20.02.2024 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-4 HT 1-2 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
POST-MATCH Hemel Hempstead Town vs Chelmsford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hemel Hempstead Town and Chelmsford City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelmsford City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hemel Hempstead Town and 1.33 for Chelmsford City.

What was the final score of Hemel Hempstead Town vs Chelmsford City?

Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 Chelmsford City in the England - Conference on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Chelmsford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hemel Hempstead Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hemel Hempstead Town 40%, draw 29%, Chelmsford City 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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