Fleetwood Town 1-0 Chesterfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.4
6+ Goals
11%
13.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+0.9pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.2pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-4.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.5pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Chesterfield EU Bookmakers 40%
+51% / +51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+58% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
270 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 74%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.4 Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fleetwood Town
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Chesterfield
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.16 xG 0.95
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
210 Passes 424
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.04.2026 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN2
18.10.2025 Chesterfield Chesterfield 1-1 HT 1-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN2
12.04.2025 Chesterfield Chesterfield 3-0 HT 0-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN2
26.12.2024 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN2
05.12.2017 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İNTK
19.11.2016 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fleetwood Town
1-0
AWAY Chesterfield
0.54 xG 1.13
5 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 9
178 Passes 543
10 Box Touches 34
14 Crosses 33
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fleetwood Town vs Chesterfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fleetwood Town nicked a narrow win over Chesterfield 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Fleetwood Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 5-15, expected goals 0.54 to 1.13 — on chances, Chesterfield could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fleetwood Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fleetwood Town and 1.00 for Chesterfield.

What was the final score of Fleetwood Town vs Chesterfield?

Fleetwood Town 1-0 Chesterfield in the England - League Cup on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fleetwood Town vs Chesterfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fleetwood Town win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Fleetwood Town 37%, draw 30%, Chesterfield 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fleetwood Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fleetwood Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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