Fleetwood Town 1-1 Chesterfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.06
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.41
6+ Goals
10%
13.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.87
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
25.0
1/X
11%
13.5
X/1
11%
6.72
X/2
13%
4.88
X/X
8%
4.59
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
21%
2.98
2/X
9%
12.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.0 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-2.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+0.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.0pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Chesterfield EU Bookmakers 48%
-14% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
1.21/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.16
-12% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
283 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 71%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
23.3 Crosses 19.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fleetwood Town
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Chesterfield
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.67 xG 0.89
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
171 Passes 456
66% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.10.2025 Chesterfield Chesterfield 1-1 HT 1-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN2
12.04.2025 Chesterfield Chesterfield 3-0 HT 0-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN2
26.12.2024 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN2
05.12.2017 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İNTK
19.11.2016 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN1
18.10.2016 Chesterfield Chesterfield 0-1 HT 0-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fleetwood Town
1-1
AWAY Chesterfield
2.63 xG 1.13
50% Ball Possession 50%
22 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
325 Passes 329
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
46 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 19
POST-MATCH Fleetwood Town vs Chesterfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fleetwood Town and Chesterfield couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Chesterfield at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Fleetwood Town had 50% of the ball to Chesterfield's 50%, shots finished 22-13, expected goals 2.63 to 1.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fleetwood Town had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fleetwood Town and 0.83 for Chesterfield.

What was the final score of Fleetwood Town vs Chesterfield?

Fleetwood Town 1-1 Chesterfield in the England - 2nd Division on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fleetwood Town vs Chesterfield?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chesterfield win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Fleetwood Town 28%, draw 28%, Chesterfield 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chesterfield) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chesterfield) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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