Oldham Athletic 1-2 Salford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 18 Apr 2026

Oldham Athletic
1-2 HT 0-2
Salford City
📅18/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Oldham Athletic vs Salford City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.45
6+ Goals
10%
13.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 29% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.69
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
10%
13.4
X/1
11%
6.52
X/2
13%
4.96
X/X
8%
4.57
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
18%
3.08
2/X
7%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.7pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.0pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Oldham Athletic v Salford City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Salford City EU Bookmakers 46%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.33/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.17
-6% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
276 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 70%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
21.3 Crosses 18.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7

Oldham Athletic vs Salford City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oldham Athletic
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Salford City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.14 xG 1.91
52% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
283 Passes 245
71% Pass Accuracy 68%
19 Box Touches 29
21 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.10.2025 Salford City Salford City 1-0 HT 1-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İN2
23.04.2022 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 1-2 HT 1-2 Salford City Salford City İN2
27.11.2021 Salford City Salford City 2-0 HT 1-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İN2
31.08.2021 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Salford City Salford City İNTK
30.01.2021 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 2-1 HT 0-1 Salford City Salford City İN2
31.10.2020 Salford City Salford City 2-0 HT 1-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İN2

Oldham Athletic 1-2 Salford City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oldham Athletic
1-2
AWAY Salford City
0.56 xG 1.96
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
218 Passes 202
64% Pass Accuracy 65%
26 Box Touches 24
31 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Oldham Athletic vs Salford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salford City squeezed past Oldham Athletic 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 40%) promised a tight game; Salford City found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Oldham Athletic had 53% of the ball to Salford City's 47%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 0.56 to 1.96 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Salford City's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salford City led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Oldham Athletic and 1.33 for Salford City.

What was the final score of Oldham Athletic vs Salford City?

Oldham Athletic 1-2 Salford City in the England - 2nd Division on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oldham Athletic vs Salford City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Salford City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Oldham Athletic 36%, draw 24%, Salford City 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salford City), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Salford City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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