Harrogate Town 1-0 Colchester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.86
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.63
6+ Goals
8%
15.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 32% vs market 27.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.71
1/2
9%
26.5
1/X
9%
13.7
X/1
10%
6.4
X/2
11%
4.91
X/X
10%
4.43
2/1
5%
33.5
2/2
23%
3.13
2/X
8%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+0.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harrogate Town EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Colchester EU Bookmakers 46%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
1.27/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.87
+12% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
232 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 62%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
19.5 Crosses 16.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harrogate Town
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Colchester
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.04 xG 1.59
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
308 Passes 328
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2025 Colchester Colchester 3-1 HT 3-1 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
21.01.2025 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
24.08.2024 Colchester Colchester 0-1 HT 0-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
10.02.2024 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
21.10.2023 Colchester Colchester 1-2 HT 0-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
07.01.2023 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 1-3 HT 0-2 Colchester Colchester İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harrogate Town
1-0
AWAY Colchester
1.18 xG 0.81
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
173 Passes 277
59% Pass Accuracy 67%
21 Box Touches 29
36 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Harrogate Town vs Colchester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harrogate Town squeezed past Colchester 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Colchester at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Harrogate Town had 43% of the ball to Colchester's 57%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.18 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Harrogate Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Harrogate Town and 1.17 for Colchester.

What was the final score of Harrogate Town vs Colchester?

Harrogate Town 1-0 Colchester in the England - 2nd Division on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harrogate Town vs Colchester?

Before kick-off our model rated an Colchester win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Harrogate Town 30%, draw 27%, Colchester 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Colchester), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Colchester) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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