Harrogate Town vs Colchester Prediction — Model Probabilities
Harrogate Town v Colchester — Team-Based Signals
Harrogate Town vs Colchester Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Harrogate Town 1-0 Colchester — Actual Match Statistics
Harrogate Town squeezed past Colchester 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We leaned Colchester at 44% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 47% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring.
Under the surface, Harrogate Town had 43% of the ball to Colchester's 57%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.18 to 0.81.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Harrogate Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Harrogate Town and 1.17 for Colchester.
Harrogate Town vs Colchester Result & Final Score
Harrogate Town 1 - 0 Colchester in the England - League Two on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Harrogate Town vs Colchester Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Colchester win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Harrogate Town 28%, draw 28%, Colchester 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Colchester), BTTS Yes went the other way.