Colchester 0-1 Harrogate Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.54
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.39
6+ Goals
10%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.54 — our 29% vs market 22.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.38
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.0
X/1
15%
4.18
X/2
10%
8.46
X/X
15%
5.03
2/1
9%
23.15
2/2
14%
6.35
2/X
7%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
52%
-9.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colchester EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Harrogate Town EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +20%
1.67/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.38
+6% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
320 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 69%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
20.8 Crosses 14.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colchester
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Harrogate Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.47 xG 1.03
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
240 Passes 306
64% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.02.2024 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
21.10.2023 Colchester Colchester 1-2 HT 0-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
07.01.2023 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 1-3 HT 0-2 Colchester Colchester İN2
08.10.2022 Colchester Colchester 2-1 HT 2-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
02.04.2022 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 1-2 HT 1-2 Colchester Colchester İN2
16.10.2021 Colchester Colchester 1-0 HT 0-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colchester
0-1
AWAY Harrogate Town
1.95 xG 1.35
63% Ball Possession 37%
24 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 4
376 Passes 189
82% Pass Accuracy 68%
33 Box Touches 12
40 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Colchester vs Harrogate Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harrogate Town edged past Colchester 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Colchester at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Colchester had 63% of the ball to Harrogate Town's 37%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 1.95 to 1.35 — the balance of chances actually favoured Colchester.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colchester had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Colchester and 1.00 for Harrogate Town.

What was the final score of Colchester vs Harrogate Town?

Colchester 0-1 Harrogate Town in the England - 2nd Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colchester vs Harrogate Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colchester win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Colchester 42%, draw 28%, Harrogate Town 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Colchester) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Colchester) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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