Cheltenham Town vs Newport County Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cheltenham Town v Newport County — Team-Based Signals
Cheltenham Town vs Newport County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Newport County
İNTK
1-0
HT 1-0
Cheltenham Town
İN2
Cheltenham Town 1-0 Newport County — Actual Match Statistics
Cheltenham Town edged past Newport County 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 37% — and on the day Cheltenham Town made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Cheltenham Town had 56% of the ball to Newport County's 44%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.99 to 1.75.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cheltenham Town had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cheltenham Town and 1.00 for Newport County.
What was the final score of Cheltenham Town vs Newport County?
Cheltenham Town 1-0 Newport County in the England - 2nd Division on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cheltenham Town vs Newport County?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cheltenham Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cheltenham Town 40%, draw 23%, Newport County 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cheltenham Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.