Newport County 0-2 Cheltenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 18 Oct 2025

Newport County
0-2 HT 0-1
Cheltenham Town
📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Newport County vs Cheltenham Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.74
Over 2.5
53%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.85
No
45%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.75
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.85
6+ Goals
11%
17.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.85 — our 24% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.99
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.8
X/1
18%
4.7
X/2
11%
6.75
X/X
11%
4.43
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
9%
5.2
2/X
6%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
54%
-6.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
46%
+6.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.9pp
45%
BTTS No
50%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newport County v Cheltenham Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newport County EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Cheltenham Town EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -24%
1.42/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.13
+15% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
213 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 76%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
21.7 Crosses 18.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Newport County vs Cheltenham Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newport County
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cheltenham Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.78 xG 1.41
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
208 Passes 305
62% Pass Accuracy 70%
15 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.02.2025 Newport County Newport County 0-3 HT 0-1 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
03.09.2024 Newport County Newport County 1-2 HT 1-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İNTK
10.08.2024 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 3-2 HT 2-2 Newport County Newport County İN2
10.10.2023 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Newport County Newport County İNTK
01.05.2021 Newport County Newport County 1-0 HT 1-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
19.01.2021 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Newport County Newport County İN2

Newport County 0-2 Cheltenham Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newport County
0-2
AWAY Cheltenham Town
0.32 xG 0.64
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
382 Passes 272
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Newport County vs Cheltenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cheltenham Town got the better of Newport County 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Newport County at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Newport County had 58% of the ball to Cheltenham Town's 42%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.32 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cheltenham Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Newport County and 1.50 for Cheltenham Town.

What was the final score of Newport County vs Cheltenham Town?

Newport County 0-2 Cheltenham Town in the England - 2nd Division on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newport County vs Cheltenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newport County win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Newport County 46%, draw 26%, Cheltenham Town 29%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Newport County) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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