Bregenz 3-2 Kapfenberger SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.29
Over 2.5
61%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
29%
2.72
6+ Goals
11%
7.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.53
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
31.5
1/X
5%
12.9
X/1
18%
4.89
X/2
10%
7.88
X/X
7%
5.78
2/1
7%
21.0
2/2
15%
5.29
2/X
7%
13.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 31.5 — our 8% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-1.2pp
19%
Draw
24%
-5.2pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
40%
-0.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
60%
+0.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.6pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bregenz EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Kapfenberger SV EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.11/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.65
+27% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
274 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
Crosses 14.6
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bregenz
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Kapfenberger SV
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Corners 9
17.04.2026 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 3-1 HT 1-0 Bregenz Bregenz AU2
24.10.2025 Bregenz Bregenz 1-1 HT 1-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
01.12.2024 Bregenz Bregenz 4-0 HT 2-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
02.03.2024 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 1-3 HT 0-2 Bregenz Bregenz AU2
12.08.2023 Bregenz Bregenz 0-2 HT 0-1 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
POST-MATCH Bregenz vs Kapfenberger SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bregenz nicked a narrow win over Kapfenberger SV 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bregenz as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Bregenz and 1.40 for Kapfenberger SV.

What was the final score of Bregenz vs Kapfenberger SV?

Bregenz 3-2 Kapfenberger SV in the Austria - 1st Division on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bregenz vs Kapfenberger SV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bregenz win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Bregenz 48%, draw 19%, Kapfenberger SV 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bregenz), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bregenz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AU2 More Austria - 1st Division
8 Aug 2026
16:30 Rapid Wien II vs Voitsberg Analysis →
18:30 Sturm Graz II vs Floridsdorfer AC Analysis →
18:30 Austria Salzburg vs First Vienna Analysis →