Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-3 CSKA 1948 Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
44%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
36%
-6.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
44%
Away Win
36%
+8.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.12/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.52/0.40
+5% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +100% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
2W-1D-3L
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.03.2026 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 3-2 HT 2-2 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
19.10.2025 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-1 HT 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
14.05.2025 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 2-1 HT 0-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
09.02.2025 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-4 HT 0-3 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
18.08.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
15.04.2024 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-1 HT 1-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
1-3
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
16 Total Shots 18
9 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA 1948 Sofia saw off Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CSKA 1948 Sofia as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, shots finished 16-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA 1948 Sofia led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 and 1.33 for CSKA 1948 Sofia.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-3 CSKA 1948 Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA 1948 Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 30%, draw 26%, CSKA 1948 Sofia 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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