CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CSKA 1948 Sofia v Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 — Team-Based Signals
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
BUL1
CSKA 1948 Sofia 3-2 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 — Actual Match Statistics
CSKA 1948 Sofia squeezed past Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had CSKA 1948 Sofia as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, CSKA 1948 Sofia had 45% of the ball to Lokomotiv Sofia 1929's 55%, shots finished 8-8.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CSKA 1948 Sofia and 1.17 for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929.
What was the final score of CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?
CSKA 1948 Sofia 3-2 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?
Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA 1948 Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split CSKA 1948 Sofia 47%, draw 26%, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.