Levski Sofia vs Cherno More Varna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Levski Sofia v Cherno More Varna — Team-Based Signals
Levski Sofia vs Cherno More Varna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Levski Sofia 2-1 Cherno More Varna — Actual Match Statistics
Levski Sofia nicked a narrow win over Cherno More Varna 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Levski Sofia as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Levski Sofia had 65% of the ball to Cherno More Varna's 35%, shots finished 18-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cherno More Varna led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Levski Sofia and 1.00 for Cherno More Varna.
What was the final score of Levski Sofia vs Cherno More Varna?
Levski Sofia 2-1 Cherno More Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Levski Sofia vs Cherno More Varna?
Before kick-off our model rated a Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Levski Sofia 61%, draw 22%, Cherno More Varna 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levski Sofia), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.