Cherno More Varna 1-3 Levski Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.5
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.16
No
48%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+1.8pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.8pp
44%
Away Win
44%
+0.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
42%
+9.9pp
48%
BTTS No
58%
-9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cherno More Varna EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 48%
+57% / +57% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.60/0.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/0.94
+79% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +0%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
211 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cherno More Varna
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Levski Sofia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.05.2025 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 2-0 HT 1-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
13.04.2025 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1-2 HT 1-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
26.02.2025 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 1-0 HT 0-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BULK
03.11.2024 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 2-1 HT 2-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
12.05.2024 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0-0 HT 0-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
13.04.2024 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 3-1 HT 1-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cherno More Varna
1-3
AWAY Levski Sofia
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 16
10 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cherno More Varna vs Levski Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Sofia saw off Cherno More Varna 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Levski Sofia as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cherno More Varna had 49% of the ball to Levski Sofia's 51%, shots finished 16-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cherno More Varna had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cherno More Varna and 0.83 for Levski Sofia.

What was the final score of Cherno More Varna vs Levski Sofia?

Cherno More Varna 1-3 Levski Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cherno More Varna vs Levski Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cherno More Varna 27%, draw 29%, Levski Sofia 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levski Sofia), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Levski Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
19 Oct 2025
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