Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Septemvri Sofia v Arda Kardzhali — Team-Based Signals
Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Septemvri Sofia 1-4 Arda Kardzhali — Actual Match Statistics
Arda Kardzhali ran out comfortable winners over Septemvri Sofia 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 39%) promised a tight game; Arda Kardzhali found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Septemvri Sofia had 44% of the ball to Arda Kardzhali's 56%, shots finished 6-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Arda Kardzhali led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Septemvri Sofia and 2.00 for Arda Kardzhali.
What was the final score of Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
Septemvri Sofia 1-4 Arda Kardzhali in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
Before kick-off our model rated an Arda Kardzhali win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Septemvri Sofia 31%, draw 30%, Arda Kardzhali 39%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arda Kardzhali), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.