Aarhus Fremad 3-1 HB Koge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.66
Draw
18%
3.72
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.71
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.03
6+ Goals
9%
9.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
2.15
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.05
X/1
13%
4.32
X/2
7%
9.77
X/X
8%
5.53
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.05
2/2
9%
7.53
2/X
5%
15.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.05 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
56%
+5.1pp
18%
Draw
24%
-5.6pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+0.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY HB Koge EU Bookmakers 23%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.30/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.69
-15% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
379 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 70%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
23.5 Crosses 13.4
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarhus Fremad
0W-2D-2L
AWAY HB Koge
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.57 xG 0.96
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
396 Passes 254
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
09.05.2026 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 0-0 HT 0-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
06.04.2026 HB Koge HB Koge 2-0 HT 0-0 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN1
23.11.2025 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 2-2 HT 1-1 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
25.07.2025 HB Koge HB Koge 2-1 HT 1-0 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aarhus Fremad
3-1
AWAY HB Koge
1.23 xG 1.17
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
359 Passes 381
16 Box Touches 23
8 Crosses 28
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aarhus Fremad vs HB Koge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarhus Fremad beat HB Koge 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aarhus Fremad as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.23 to 1.17.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, HB Koge led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Aarhus Fremad and 1.50 for HB Koge.

What was the final score of Aarhus Fremad vs HB Koge?

Aarhus Fremad 3-1 HB Koge in the Denmark 1st Division on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarhus Fremad vs HB Koge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarhus Fremad win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Aarhus Fremad 61%, draw 18%, HB Koge 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarhus Fremad), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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