Aarhus Fremad 0-0 HB Koge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.15
Over 2.5
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.68
No
41%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.92
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
2.87
6+ Goals
13%
8.76
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.87 — our 28% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.08
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.75
X/1
18%
4.31
X/2
9%
9.96
X/X
11%
5.65
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.1
2/2
5%
7.52
2/X
7%
15.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.1 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
57%
+0.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-0.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
43%
-1.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
57%
+1.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.5pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY HB Koge EU Bookmakers 23%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.37/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.73
-2% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
366 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
23.5 Crosses 13.2
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarhus Fremad
0W-1D-2L
AWAY HB Koge
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.78 xG 1.03
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
429 Passes 252
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
31 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2026 HB Koge HB Koge 2-0 HT 0-0 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN1
23.11.2025 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 2-2 HT 1-1 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
25.07.2025 HB Koge HB Koge 2-1 HT 1-0 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aarhus Fremad
0-0
AWAY HB Koge
0.94 xG 0.76
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
296 Passes 263
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 10
24 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Aarhus Fremad vs HB Koge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarhus Fremad and HB Koge played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Aarhus Fremad carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aarhus Fremad had 53% of the ball to HB Koge's 47%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 0.94 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, HB Koge led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aarhus Fremad and 2.00 for HB Koge.

What was the final score of Aarhus Fremad vs HB Koge?

Aarhus Fremad 0-0 HB Koge in the Denmark 1st Division on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarhus Fremad vs HB Koge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarhus Fremad win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Aarhus Fremad 57%, draw 23%, HB Koge 19%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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