AC Horsens 4-0 Hillerod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.43
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
17%
4.32
6+ Goals
9%
23.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.43 — our 34% vs market 33.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.14
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
14%
4.7
X/2
7%
6.49
X/X
15%
3.98
2/1
9%
29.5
2/2
16%
5.14
2/X
6%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AC Horsens EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Hillerod EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.59/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.23
-3% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
19.9 Crosses 15.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AC Horsens
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Hillerod
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.28 xG 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
354 Passes 432
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
11.04.2026 Hillerod Hillerod 0-0 HT 0-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
23.11.2025 AC Horsens AC Horsens 3-1 HT 1-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
27.09.2025 Hillerod Hillerod 2-1 HT 1-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
25.10.2024 Hillerod Hillerod 2-0 HT 1-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
26.07.2024 AC Horsens AC Horsens 3-2 HT 0-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
24.05.2024 Hillerod Hillerod 2-0 HT 0-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AC Horsens
4-0
AWAY Hillerod
3.94 xG 1.32
55% Ball Possession 45%
21 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
432 Passes 340
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
37 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 12
POST-MATCH AC Horsens vs Hillerod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AC Horsens ran out comfortable winners over Hillerod 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had AC Horsens as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AC Horsens had 55% of the ball to Hillerod's 45%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 3.94 to 1.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hillerod led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for AC Horsens and 1.50 for Hillerod.

What was the final score of AC Horsens vs Hillerod?

AC Horsens 4-0 Hillerod in the Denmark 1st Division on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AC Horsens vs Hillerod?

Before kick-off our model rated a AC Horsens win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split AC Horsens 43%, draw 28%, Hillerod 29%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AC Horsens), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AC Horsens) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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