Esbjerg 3-0 Kolding IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.64
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.0
6+ Goals
11%
9.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.95
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
18%
5.03
X/2
12%
6.65
X/X
10%
5.13
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
23.5
2/2
11%
4.53
2/X
7%
13.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.5 — our 11% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+2.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esbjerg EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolding IF EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +15%
1.71/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.08
+8% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
20.9 Crosses 16.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esbjerg
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Kolding IF
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.83 xG 2.57
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
314 Passes 376
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 32
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.04.2026 Kolding IF Kolding IF 1-1 HT 0-1 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
04.10.2025 Kolding IF Kolding IF 2-1 HT 1-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
09.08.2025 Esbjerg Esbjerg 0-2 HT 0-2 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
10.05.2025 Kolding IF Kolding IF 2-1 HT 0-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
06.04.2025 Esbjerg Esbjerg 1-2 HT 0-0 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
22.02.2025 Esbjerg Esbjerg 0-1 HT 0-1 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esbjerg
3-0
AWAY Kolding IF
1.94 xG 1.01
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
269 Passes 411
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Esbjerg vs Kolding IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esbjerg ran out comfortable winners over Kolding IF 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Esbjerg as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Esbjerg had 42% of the ball to Kolding IF's 58%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.94 to 1.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kolding IF led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Esbjerg and 1.67 for Kolding IF.

What was the final score of Esbjerg vs Kolding IF?

Esbjerg 3-0 Kolding IF in the Denmark 1st Division on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esbjerg vs Kolding IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esbjerg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Esbjerg 46%, draw 24%, Kolding IF 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esbjerg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Esbjerg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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