Esbjerg 0-2 Kolding IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.12
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.4
6+ Goals
9%
13.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 30% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.69
1/2
7%
25.0
1/X
8%
14.15
X/1
11%
6.47
X/2
15%
4.87
X/X
13%
4.85
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
22%
3.05
2/X
8%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
31%
-4.6pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.1pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+0.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esbjerg EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolding IF EU Bookmakers 48%
-27% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.36/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.15
-48% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +57%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.4
16.6 Crosses 18.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esbjerg
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Kolding IF
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.84 xG 1.94
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
284 Passes 369
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2025 Kolding IF Kolding IF 2-1 HT 0-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
06.04.2025 Esbjerg Esbjerg 1-2 HT 0-0 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
22.02.2025 Esbjerg Esbjerg 0-1 HT 0-1 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
21.08.2024 Kolding IF Kolding IF 1-2 HT 0-1 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
17.06.2023 Kolding IF Kolding IF 1-2 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN2
16.04.2023 Esbjerg Esbjerg 1-0 HT 1-0 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esbjerg
0-2
AWAY Kolding IF
0.43 xG 4.22
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
314 Passes 445
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 29
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Esbjerg vs Kolding IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolding IF got the better of Esbjerg 2-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kolding IF as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Esbjerg had 45% of the ball to Kolding IF's 55%, shots finished 8-19, expected goals 0.43 to 4.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Esbjerg and 1.17 for Kolding IF.

What was the final score of Esbjerg vs Kolding IF?

Esbjerg 0-2 Kolding IF in the Denmark 1st Division on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esbjerg vs Kolding IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kolding IF win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Esbjerg 27%, draw 29%, Kolding IF 44%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kolding IF), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kolding IF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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