Kolding IF 1-1 Esbjerg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 3 Apr 2026

📅03/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.34
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.19
6+ Goals
10%
11.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.33
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
11%
5.33
X/2
14%
6.1
X/X
13%
4.81
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
25.5
2/2
11%
4.1
2/X
8%
13.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 10% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kolding IF EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Esbjerg EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.82/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.62
+7% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -34%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
300 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
17.5 Crosses 16.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kolding IF
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Esbjerg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.40 xG 0.77
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
384 Passes 306
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2025 Kolding IF Kolding IF 2-1 HT 1-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
09.08.2025 Esbjerg Esbjerg 0-2 HT 0-2 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
10.05.2025 Kolding IF Kolding IF 2-1 HT 0-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
06.04.2025 Esbjerg Esbjerg 1-2 HT 0-0 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
22.02.2025 Esbjerg Esbjerg 0-1 HT 0-1 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
21.08.2024 Kolding IF Kolding IF 1-2 HT 0-1 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kolding IF
1-1
AWAY Esbjerg
2.79 xG 0.93
59% Ball Possession 41%
21 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 6
368 Passes 241
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
48 Box Touches 25
43 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kolding IF vs Esbjerg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolding IF and Esbjerg shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kolding IF at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Kolding IF had 59% of the ball to Esbjerg's 41%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 2.79 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kolding IF had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kolding IF and 0.83 for Esbjerg.

What was the final score of Kolding IF vs Esbjerg?

Kolding IF 1-1 Esbjerg in the Denmark 1st Division on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kolding IF vs Esbjerg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kolding IF win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kolding IF 41%, draw 29%, Esbjerg 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kolding IF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kolding IF) ✓ BTTS Yes
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