Newport City vs Carmarthen Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newport City v Carmarthen Town — Team-Based Signals
Newport City vs Carmarthen Town Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Carmarthen Town squeezed past Newport City 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Carmarthen Town as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (63%), and that read landed as well.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Carmarthen Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Newport City and 1.50 for Carmarthen Town.
What was the final score of Newport City vs Carmarthen Town?
Newport City 1-2 Carmarthen Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newport City vs Carmarthen Town?
Before kick-off our model rated an Carmarthen Town win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Newport City 30%, draw 27%, Carmarthen Town 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carmarthen Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.