Auxerre vs Troyes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Auxerre v Troyes — Team-Based Signals
Auxerre vs Troyes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Auxerre
FR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Troyes
FR1
1-1
HT 1-0
Auxerre
FR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Troyes
HAZ
Auxerre 1-1 Troyes — Actual Match Statistics
Auxerre and Troyes shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 32% / 29% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, shots finished 8-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Auxerre had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Auxerre and 0.50 for Troyes.
What was the final score of Auxerre vs Troyes?
Auxerre 1-1 Troyes in the Friendlies on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Auxerre vs Troyes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Auxerre win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Auxerre 38%, draw 32%, Troyes 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Auxerre) went the other way.