Den Bosch 1-1 Almere City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
45%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.61
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.39
No
43%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.67
2-3 Goals
39%
2.02
4-5 Goals
25%
2.47
6+ Goals
14%
5.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.65
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
22.05
1/X
5%
12.25
X/1
10%
6.49
X/2
11%
6.01
X/X
10%
6.13
2/1
7%
23.35
2/2
26%
3.24
2/X
6%
12.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.05 — our 8% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.1pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.7pp
45%
Away Win
39%
+5.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.5pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Almere City EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +9%
1.54/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.63
+12% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
17.9 Crosses 18.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Den Bosch
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Almere City
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.55 xG 2.30
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
292 Passes 367
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.05.2026 Almere City Almere City 3-0 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
29.04.2026 Den Bosch Den Bosch 2-3 HT 2-0 Almere City Almere City HOL2
06.04.2026 Almere City Almere City 1-2 HT 0-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
21.11.2025 Den Bosch Den Bosch 5-2 HT 1-1 Almere City Almere City HOL2
12.05.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 2-2 HT 1-1 Almere City Almere City HOL2
26.08.2022 Almere City Almere City 2-0 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Den Bosch
1-1
AWAY Almere City
1.61 xG 2.12
19 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
243 Passes 234
29 Box Touches 58
22 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Den Bosch vs Almere City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Den Bosch and Almere City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Almere City at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, shots finished 19-22, expected goals 1.61 to 2.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almere City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Den Bosch and 2.17 for Almere City.

What was the final score of Den Bosch vs Almere City?

Den Bosch 1-1 Almere City in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Den Bosch vs Almere City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Almere City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Den Bosch 34%, draw 21%, Almere City 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Almere City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Almere City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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