Kagoshima United 1-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
24%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.2pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.4pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+5.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.9pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 20%
-6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.23/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.79
+21% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +86% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.2 Crosses 21.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kagoshima United
2W-2D-0L
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
224 Passes 470
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.07.2025 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 2-3 HT 1-2 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
08.03.2025 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 5-2 HT 2-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP3
13.07.2024 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 1-1 HT 0-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
25.02.2024 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-1 HT 0-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kagoshima United
1-0
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kagoshima United vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kagoshima United squeezed past ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kagoshima United as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, shots finished 14-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kagoshima United had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Kagoshima United and 1.50 for ThespaKusatsu Gunma.

What was the final score of Kagoshima United vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Kagoshima United 1-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma in the Japan - J3 League on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kagoshima United vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kagoshima United win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Kagoshima United 56%, draw 22%, ThespaKusatsu Gunma 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kagoshima United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kagoshima United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP3 More Japan - J3 League
8 Aug 2026
12:00 Parceiro Nagano vs Renofa Yamaguchi Analysis →
12:00 Sagamihara vs Roasso Kumamoto Analysis →
13:00 Kochi United vs Matsumoto Yamaga Analysis →
13:00 Gainare Tottori vs Osaka Analysis →