ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Kagoshima United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ThespaKusatsu Gunma v Kagoshima United — Team-Based Signals
ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Kagoshima United Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
ThespaKusatsu Gunma 2-3 Kagoshima United — Actual Match Statistics
Kagoshima United nicked a narrow win over ThespaKusatsu Gunma 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Kagoshima United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, ThespaKusatsu Gunma had 61% of the ball to Kagoshima United's 39%, shots finished 20-19.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kagoshima United led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for ThespaKusatsu Gunma and 2.33 for Kagoshima United.
What was the final score of ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Kagoshima United?
ThespaKusatsu Gunma 2-3 Kagoshima United in the Japan - J3 League on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Kagoshima United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Kagoshima United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split ThespaKusatsu Gunma 30%, draw 25%, Kagoshima United 45%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kagoshima United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.