Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-0 JEF United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
13%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
2.94
6+ Goals
10%
8.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.68
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
8%
17.7
X/1
20%
3.9
X/2
6%
14.55
X/X
10%
6.7
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
21.65
2/2
4%
12.15
2/X
5%
20.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.65 — our 7% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
66%
-2.0pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.2pp
13%
Away Win
14%
-1.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.7pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY JEF United EU Bookmakers 17%
-10% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -20%
1.70/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.67
-12% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
403 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
26.3 Crosses 17.6
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1W-0D-1L
AWAY JEF United
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
19.07.2009 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4-1 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JAP
09.05.2009 JEF United JEF United 2-1 HT 2-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3-0
AWAY JEF United
2.76 xG 0.50
23 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 0
432 Passes 365
41 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs JEF United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima ran out comfortable winners over JEF United 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, shots finished 23-7, expected goals 2.76 to 0.50.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 1.50 for JEF United.

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs JEF United?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-0 JEF United in the Japan - J1 League on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs JEF United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima 64%, draw 23%, JEF United 13%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✓ Over 2.5
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