FC Tokyo 1-5 Machida Zelvia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
5.3
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.41
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
15%
4.84
X/2
11%
6.42
X/X
12%
3.59
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
17%
5.24
2/X
8%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.7pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.0pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.6pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +1%
1.40/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.94
+1% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
412 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
19.0 Crosses 18.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Tokyo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Machida Zelvia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.76 xG 1.27
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
398 Passes 299
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.04.2026 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 0-0 HT 0-0 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
01.04.2026 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 0-3 HT 0-1 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
16.11.2025 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JPK
09.11.2025 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
22.02.2025 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 0-1 HT 0-0 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
09.11.2024 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Tokyo
1-5
AWAY Machida Zelvia
0.90 xG 1.86
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
337 Passes 443
18 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Tokyo vs Machida Zelvia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Machida Zelvia cruised past FC Tokyo 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Machida Zelvia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 0.90 to 1.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Machida Zelvia led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FC Tokyo and 1.00 for Machida Zelvia.

What was the final score of FC Tokyo vs Machida Zelvia?

FC Tokyo 1-5 Machida Zelvia in the Japan - J1 League on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Tokyo vs Machida Zelvia?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Tokyo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Tokyo 38%, draw 28%, Machida Zelvia 34%. The final score 1-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Tokyo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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