Kashiwa Reysol 2-1 Mito HollyHock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 8 Aug 2026

Kashiwa Reysol
2-1 HT 2-0
Mito HollyHock
📅08/08/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2026/2027

Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito HollyHock Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.64
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.82
Over 2.5
58%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.88
No
43%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.13
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.56
6+ Goals
12%
14.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.56 — our 26% vs market 22.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.13
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.6
X/1
24%
4.15
X/2
7%
10.2
X/X
9%
4.96
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.2
2/2
10%
8.49
2/X
5%
16.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.2 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
57%
+2.4pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.0pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+1.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
51%
-8.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
49%
+8.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.9pp
43%
BTTS No
51%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kashiwa Reysol v Mito HollyHock — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 22%
-5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.80/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.37
-8% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -36%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
418 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
15.0 Crosses 12.6
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.3

Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito HollyHock Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Mito HollyHock
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.41 xG 0.86
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
401 Passes 419
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.04.2026 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 2-0 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
22.03.2026 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 3-0 HT 2-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP

Kashiwa Reysol 2-1 Mito HollyHock — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
2-1
AWAY Mito HollyHock
1.34 xG 1.43
9 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
511 Passes 416
21 Box Touches 23
8 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito HollyHock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashiwa Reysol squeezed past Mito HollyHock 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kashiwa Reysol as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.34 to 1.43.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kashiwa Reysol and 1.00 for Mito HollyHock.

What was the final score of Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito HollyHock?

Kashiwa Reysol 2-1 Mito HollyHock in the Japan - J1 League on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito HollyHock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashiwa Reysol win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Kashiwa Reysol 59%, draw 20%, Mito HollyHock 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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