Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cerezo Osaka v Fagiano Okayama — Team-Based Signals
Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Cerezo Osaka
JAP2
Cerezo Osaka 2-1 Fagiano Okayama — Actual Match Statistics
Cerezo Osaka squeezed past Fagiano Okayama 2-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Cerezo Osaka as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 0.82 to 1.08.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cerezo Osaka had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Cerezo Osaka and 1.40 for Fagiano Okayama.
What was the final score of Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama?
Cerezo Osaka 2-1 Fagiano Okayama in the Japan - J1 League on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cerezo Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Cerezo Osaka 52%, draw 23%, Fagiano Okayama 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerezo Osaka) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.