Nagoya Grampus 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.38
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.35
6+ Goals
10%
12.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.54
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
19%
4.63
X/2
10%
8.12
X/X
10%
4.84
2/1
7%
23.8
2/2
11%
6.11
2/X
5%
14.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 9% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-1.6pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.3pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.7pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.52/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.20
+5% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
20.2 Crosses 18.2
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nagoya Grampus
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.97 xG 0.89
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
316 Passes 377
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.04.2026 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 0-2 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
08.02.2026 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-0 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
21.06.2025 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-1 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
03.05.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 0-3 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
10.07.2022 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0-2 HT 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
21.05.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-2 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nagoya Grampus
0-1
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
0.85 xG 1.17
18 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
13 Corners 7
531 Passes 124
34 Box Touches 24
37 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-Pulse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shimizu S-Pulse edged past Nagoya Grampus 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Nagoya Grampus at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 0.85 to 1.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nagoya Grampus had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nagoya Grampus and 0.67 for Shimizu S-Pulse.

What was the final score of Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Nagoya Grampus 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse in the Japan - J1 League on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nagoya Grampus win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Nagoya Grampus 48%, draw 22%, Shimizu S-Pulse 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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