Universitario 1-1 Sporting Cristal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.86
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
50%
+5.7pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.4pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 27%
+13% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.45/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.56
+17% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -22%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
21.4 Crosses 16.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitario
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sporting Cristal
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.57 xG 0.90
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
258 Passes 347
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2026 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 2-2 HT 0-2 Universitario Universitario PER
24.10.2025 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 0-1 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
23.05.2025 Universitario Universitario 2-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
24.10.2024 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 2-1 HT 1-0 Universitario Universitario PER
13.05.2024 Universitario Universitario 4-1 HT 1-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
17.09.2023 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 0-0 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario
1-1
AWAY Sporting Cristal
0.88 xG 1.03
14 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
272 Passes 372
27 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Universitario vs Sporting Cristal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario and Sporting Cristal couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Universitario at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.88 to 1.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Universitario and 0.83 for Sporting Cristal.

What was the final score of Universitario vs Sporting Cristal?

Universitario 1-1 Sporting Cristal in the Peru - Premier League on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario vs Sporting Cristal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Universitario 56%, draw 21%, Sporting Cristal 23%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Universitario) ✗ Over 2.5
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